The Three Year Rule Track Record and Consistency in Trading

The Three Year Rule Track Record and Consistency in Trading

Published

Jun 27, 2025

Written By

Confluence Group

Category

Manager & Strategy Selection

Capital deserves care. Relationships demand trust. In a world where speed and volume often drown out substance, one principle continues to rise above the noise for allocators and fund managers alike: the three-year rule. This isn’t just a box to tick in a due diligence checklist. It’s a philosophy rooted in experience, risk management, and the pursuit of real, lasting alpha.

Why the Three-Year Rule Matters for Fund Manager Selection

Why the Three-Year Rule Matters for Fund Manager Selection

Every allocator has seen the pitch: a dazzling one-year return, a strategy that claims to have “cracked the code,” or a manager with a meteoric rise. But as any seasoned professional knows, true talent reveals itself over time, not in a single market cycle or a lucky streak. The three-year track record stands as a minimum threshold for a reason. It’s not about arbitrary timelines; it’s about observing how a strategy and its manager perform across different market conditions, volatility regimes, and, yes, inevitable setbacks.

A three-year window allows for meaningful track record verification and operational due diligence (ODD). It’s long enough to filter out the noise of short-term luck and capture the impact of risk management decisions, market sentiment shifts, and even the occasional drawdown. This period also provides allocators with enough data to stress test performance, analyze risk metrics like volatility and Sharpe ratio, and evaluate the consistency of alpha generation.

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Discover strategies with verified track records and build lasting investment partnerships.

Consistency: The Foundation of Trust in Asset Management

Consistency isn’t just about returns. It’s about how a manager shows up; quarter after quarter, year after year. It’s reflected in their commitment to transparency, their approach to risk management, and their ability to communicate clearly in both good times and bad. At its core, consistency is the foundation of trust, and trust is the currency of institutional asset management.

Allocators aren’t just looking for outperformance; they’re looking for reliability. They want to know that a manager’s process is robust, that operational infrastructure is sound, and that compliance frameworks are in place. This is why fund manager vetting goes beyond numbers. It includes deep dives into reporting packs, factsheets, and investment memoranda, as well as ongoing monitoring and relationship-building.

Track Record Verification Separating Skill from Luck

At the intersection of capital and talent, relationships matter. The three-year rule isn’t just about statistical significance; it’s about alignment. It’s about seeing how a manager responds to adversity, adapts to changing market dynamics, and maintains their edge without sacrificing integrity. This is where the quiet power of doing things right comes into play: showing up, doing the work, and earning trust over time.

Our approach to strategy sourcing for allocators is built on these principles. We curate, verify, and align. Not just to deliver performance, but to foster long-term partnerships that transcend transactions. We believe in outcomes that last, and that means putting relationships above short-term metrics.

The Role of Track Record Verification and Due Diligence

In a landscape crowded with alternative investment strategies, hedge fund access, and private capital solutions, rigorous track record verification is non-negotiable. Institutional due diligence isn’t just a regulatory requirement; it’s a safeguard for capital allocation solutions that must withstand scrutiny from family offices, institutional investors, and compliance teams alike.

Our process includes:

  • Comprehensive review of trading strategy selection and execution infrastructure

  • Verification of performance data and operational controls

  • Ongoing monitoring of risk management practices, including stress testing and scenario analysis

  • Transparent reporting and regular updates to all stakeholders

This level of diligence ensures that every strategy provider in our network meets the highest standards; not just for today, but for the long haul.

The Human Element Building Relationships That Last

The three-year rule embodies a commitment to long-term investment alignment, where capital allocation isn’t about chasing trends but about building portfolios that can thrive across cycles. This is how we empower allocators with alpha-generating strategies, advanced risk diversification, and the confidence to move forward in an ever-changing market.

For a deeper dive into how we approach manager selection and risk diversification, take a look at our recent articles on [why relationships drive success in strategy allocation]4 and [how modern diversification empowers allocators].

Explore Our Manager Selection Insights

Dive deeper into our approach to vetting and aligning with exceptional fund managers for enduring success.

Explore Our Manager Selection Insights

Dive deeper into our approach to vetting and aligning with exceptional fund managers for enduring success.

Conclusion: Time as the Ultimate Test for Investment Strategies

In the end, the three-year rule is a reminder that in investment, as in life, time reveals all. It separates luck from skill, hype from substance, and fleeting gains from enduring value. By insisting on a proven track record and unwavering consistency, we’re not just protecting capital; we’re honoring the trust that makes every partnership possible.

Capital deserves care. Relationships demand trust.

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Whether you’re allocating capital or managing it, we’re here to help you move forward with clarity and confidence.

Let’s explore what’s possible, together.

Whether you’re allocating capital or managing it — we’re here to help you move forward with clarity and confidence.

Confluence Group

Let’s connect you to the capital or strategies you’re looking for

We work with allocators, fund managers and strategy providers who value precision, discretion, and real results — not noise.

Confluence Group

Let’s connect you to the capital or strategies you’re looking for

We work with allocators, fund managers and strategy providers who value precision, discretion, and real results — not noise.

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Curated access to exceptional investment strategies, built on trust and long-term alignment.

© 2022–2025

Confluence Group

Investing in alternative strategies involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The value of investments can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the amount originally invested. These opportunities are intended for sophisticated or qualified investors who understand the risks involved. Please seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Confluence Group Brand Assets
Confluence Group Logo

Curated access to exceptional investment strategies, built on trust and long-term alignment.

© 2022–2025

Confluence Group

Investing in alternative strategies involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The value of investments can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the amount originally invested. These opportunities are intended for sophisticated or qualified investors who understand the risks involved. Please seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Confluence Group Brand Assets
Confluence Group Logo
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The Three Year Rule Track Record and Consistency in Trading

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