Published
Jun 27, 2025
Written By
Confluence Group
Category
Manager & Strategy Selection
Capital deserves care. Relationships demand trust. In a world where speed and volume often drown out substance, one principle continues to rise above the noise for allocators and fund managers alike: the three-year rule. This isn’t just a box to tick in a due diligence checklist. It’s a philosophy rooted in experience, risk management, and the pursuit of real, lasting alpha.
Every allocator has seen the pitch: a dazzling one-year return, a strategy that claims to have “cracked the code,” or a manager with a meteoric rise. But as any seasoned professional knows, true talent reveals itself over time, not in a single market cycle or a lucky streak. The three-year track record stands as a minimum threshold for a reason. It’s not about arbitrary timelines; it’s about observing how a strategy and its manager perform across different market conditions, volatility regimes, and, yes, inevitable setbacks.
A three-year window allows for meaningful track record verification and operational due diligence (ODD). It’s long enough to filter out the noise of short-term luck and capture the impact of risk management decisions, market sentiment shifts, and even the occasional drawdown. This period also provides allocators with enough data to stress test performance, analyze risk metrics like volatility and Sharpe ratio, and evaluate the consistency of alpha generation.
Consistency: The Foundation of Trust in Asset Management
Consistency isn’t just about returns. It’s about how a manager shows up; quarter after quarter, year after year. It’s reflected in their commitment to transparency, their approach to risk management, and their ability to communicate clearly in both good times and bad. At its core, consistency is the foundation of trust, and trust is the currency of institutional asset management.
Allocators aren’t just looking for outperformance; they’re looking for reliability. They want to know that a manager’s process is robust, that operational infrastructure is sound, and that compliance frameworks are in place. This is why fund manager vetting goes beyond numbers. It includes deep dives into reporting packs, factsheets, and investment memoranda, as well as ongoing monitoring and relationship-building.
Track Record Verification Separating Skill from Luck
At the intersection of capital and talent, relationships matter. The three-year rule isn’t just about statistical significance; it’s about alignment. It’s about seeing how a manager responds to adversity, adapts to changing market dynamics, and maintains their edge without sacrificing integrity. This is where the quiet power of doing things right comes into play: showing up, doing the work, and earning trust over time.
Our approach to strategy sourcing for allocators is built on these principles. We curate, verify, and align. Not just to deliver performance, but to foster long-term partnerships that transcend transactions. We believe in outcomes that last, and that means putting relationships above short-term metrics.
The Role of Track Record Verification and Due Diligence
In a landscape crowded with alternative investment strategies, hedge fund access, and private capital solutions, rigorous track record verification is non-negotiable. Institutional due diligence isn’t just a regulatory requirement; it’s a safeguard for capital allocation solutions that must withstand scrutiny from family offices, institutional investors, and compliance teams alike.
Our process includes:
Comprehensive review of trading strategy selection and execution infrastructure
Verification of performance data and operational controls
Ongoing monitoring of risk management practices, including stress testing and scenario analysis
Transparent reporting and regular updates to all stakeholders
This level of diligence ensures that every strategy provider in our network meets the highest standards; not just for today, but for the long haul.
The Human Element Building Relationships That Last
The three-year rule embodies a commitment to long-term investment alignment, where capital allocation isn’t about chasing trends but about building portfolios that can thrive across cycles. This is how we empower allocators with alpha-generating strategies, advanced risk diversification, and the confidence to move forward in an ever-changing market.
For a deeper dive into how we approach manager selection and risk diversification, take a look at our recent articles on [why relationships drive success in strategy allocation]4 and [how modern diversification empowers allocators].
Conclusion: Time as the Ultimate Test for Investment Strategies
In the end, the three-year rule is a reminder that in investment, as in life, time reveals all. It separates luck from skill, hype from substance, and fleeting gains from enduring value. By insisting on a proven track record and unwavering consistency, we’re not just protecting capital; we’re honoring the trust that makes every partnership possible.
Capital deserves care. Relationships demand trust.
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