Value at Risk (VaR)

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum expected loss over a defined period at a given confidence level, helping managers quantify potential downside exposure.

VaR is a statistical tool that models the worst-case loss scenario within a confidence interval (e.g., 95% or 99%) over a set time horizon (e.g., one day or one month). It's used by risk managers and regulators to assess capital adequacy and strategy risk. Though powerful, VaR assumes normal market conditions and may underestimate extreme events (fat tails). It is often supplemented by Stress Testing and drawdown analysis. Institutional allocators rely on VaR to compare risk across strategies, especially when evaluating leveraged or derivative-heavy portfolios.

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Whether you’re allocating capital or managing it — we’re here to help you move forward with clarity and confidence.

Let’s explore what’s possible, together.

Whether you’re allocating capital or managing it — we’re here to help you move forward with clarity and confidence.

Let’s explore what’s possible, together.

Whether you’re allocating capital or managing it — we’re here to help you move forward with clarity and confidence.

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Curated access to exceptional investment strategies, built on trust and long-term alignment.

© 2022–2025

Confluence Group

Investing in alternative strategies involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The value of investments can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the amount originally invested. These opportunities are intended for sophisticated or qualified investors who understand the risks involved. Please seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Confluence Group Brand Assets
Confluence Group Logo

Curated access to exceptional investment strategies, built on trust and long-term alignment.

© 2022–2025

Confluence Group

Investing in alternative strategies involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The value of investments can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the amount originally invested. These opportunities are intended for sophisticated or qualified investors who understand the risks involved. Please seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Confluence Group Brand Assets
Confluence Group Logo
Confluence Group Logo

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